What About Real Estate Scares You?
January 16th, 2009 Categories: Real Estate News
Franklin D. Roosevelt said, “The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.”
In times like these, facts are what we need to focus on. Below is a 13 month look at interest rates. If you couple this trend with the enormous number of buyers that have been hitting the streets lately, the news is good.
It is important to reinforce to everyone that our economy is designed to have ups and downs, that is how we adjust.
During these periods of adjustments it is always better to deal with facts rather than fear. We will pull out of this current period of adjustment and the housing market will most likely lead the way, much like they lead the way in .
The good news is, if you are a buyer there has never been a better time for you! There are many options to consider, all of them positive for the buyer, low interest rates and low prices to name two. If you are a seller, the good news is there are many more buyers today than there have been for many months and multiple offers are back.
So, look at the facts of the situation and know that the current market adjustments are necessary, can be helpful, and will end. The facts I read say we are heading toward the end of this adjustment period.
This chart is only one of those facts that point to a positive trend.
More Facts To Come, So Stay Tuned!
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WaMu Goes Down: Should You Be Surprised?
September 28th, 2008 Categories: Mortgage News, Real Estate News, San Diego
It was announced Thursday evening that Washington Mutual was closed by the U.S government in what is the largest U.S. bank failure in history. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp was named receiver and stated that “customers should expect business as usual on Friday, and all depositors are fully protected.”
I am not writing this post to discuss the details of the post-failure workings (please read this Yahoo News article), and I do understand that WaMu’s failure is complicated. I just want to express my lack of surprise that WaMu failed from a loan officer’s standpoint.
WaMu was a leader in subprime originations and they were fortunate enough to weather the subprime storm of February, 2007, as long as they did. They had a separate subprime division with a separate name (Long Beach Mortgage) which probably helped protect them a little.
But WaMu’s real niche over the last several years was the negative amortization loan, aka, the Option Arm, which allows a borrower to make a minimum payment that might not cover the mortgage interest that is actually accruing thereby causing the mortgage balance to increase.
WaMu was obviously not the only lender offering these loans, but they were known for underwriting guidelines that were further outside of the box than most other lenders. They also loved very large option arm loans and were one of the last option arm lenders to offer stated income. Even though they seemed to have a fairly stringent appraisal review process, many bad underwriting decisions were made.
WaMu was not alone in the big option arm mess. Here are some other lenders that offered, and even pushed, the option arm loan:
· Bear Stearns had an appetite for very large, stated income option arms loans as well. They also offered No-Documentation option arms up to 90% loan to value. Bear merged with EMC, a subprime lender, in 2007. We all know what happened to Bear Stearns.
· World Savings built their business on the “Pick-a-Pay” loan, which was their name for the option arm. If the loan to value was 70% or less, then no income or assets were verified, not even the source. They referred to this as their Quick Qualifier. World Savings also allowed significantly lower credit scores than other lenders and more marginal credit. World Savings was purchased by Wachovia in 2007 and the poor performance of the Pick-A-Pay has since caused the closure of that division.
· IndyMac was recently taken over by the FDIC. They too had a large subprime division, but they also originated many stated income option arms.
· Countrywide was perhaps the largest originator of the option arm, especially stated income. At the time they were “saved” by BofA, 89% of the loans Countrywide originated in the previous year were no longer within their guidelines. Although many of these loans were considered subprime, many were stated income option arms. Little tidbit that is frequently overlooked…BofA actually offered an option arm for a brief time, but wisely chose to discontinue the program.
· Downey Savings has been rumored to be in trouble. They recently discontinued their Lite-Doc program and yesterday discontinued the last of their option arm products. They were always loose on income, but tough on property values.
What do these lenders have in common? Stated income option arms. Is anyone else left that offered these? Homecomings is gone. Greenpoint is gone. Bank United stopped lending in California. SouthStar allowed 100% financing, stated income, with an option arm 1st mortgage, no surprise they are gone. American Home Mortgage, the tenth largest lender in the nation at the time it folded in August of 2008, specialized in easy to qualify option arms, with minimum pay rates of 1% and note rates of 10%…how does that work?
Looks like the option arm really was too good to be true. And WaMu found out the hard way.
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Government Poised To Make Historic Moves To Strengthen Our Economy
September 20th, 2008 Categories: Brookside Escondido, Foreclosures & Short Sales, Market Trends, Mortgage News, Rancho Bernardo
Huge headlines, scary story lines, and big government moving at breakneck speed to shore up our economic backbone. You are undoubtedly hearing about an eminent and massive move by the Federal government to finally get its arms around the national, indeed global, financial crisis. The latest courtesy of my friend and Branch Manager Paul Gonzalez at our sister company CW Mortgage.
We are writing to you today to briefly shed some light on what this may mean to you and I. It will be historic, with nothing in our Nation’s history to compare to it. And this is going to happen literally in a matter of days. 
The Federal government appears to be preparing a new entity that will purchase most, if not all, bad mortgages that are currently on the books of lenders and banks, and possibly Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The Federal Reserve, US Treasury, Securities and Exchange Commission, Congress and the Administration are feverishly working on this as I am writing this, and will continue through the weekend and into this coming week.
When a bank has a lot of bad loans on its books, it must set aside equal amounts of cash to offset the bad debt and protect its stockholders. This is currently tying up tens of billions of dollars that could otherwise be pumped into the financing system. This has also caused, or been a primary factor, in the collapse of institutions including IndyMac Bank and Lehman Brothers, among many others.
The intended effect of the Federal plan will be to free up huge amounts of capital that lenders and banks will again be able to lend as mortgages and other types of consumer financing.
The plan will likely resemble the Resolution Trust Corp, or RTC, which was set up in 1989 to clean up the portfolios of bad debts that resulted from the Savings and Loan crisis of the times. . All this is vitally important to you and I, and all real estate professionals, and will warrant our close attention over the next few days and weeks.
If such a plan is enacted we will expect to see investors and banks more willing to invest money into the mortgage financing system. Increasing the amount of funds in the system should, over time, bring down the interest rate spreads and lower interest rates.
In the short term, be prepared for wild swings in the stock, bond and mortgage markets. Volatility will be likely rule the day until the global markets begin to sense greater stability and lower risks in putting money into the financing system.
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